EUR/USD Daily Price Forecast – 13th August 2025
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Trade Summary:
EURUSD
Buy Stop @ 1.16983
TP @ 1.17636
SL @ 1.16617
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EUR/USD Technical Analysis (H4 Chart)
Chart Overview
The chart displays a EUR/USD 4-hour (H4) candlestick chart with the following technical indicators and trade levels:
Buy Stop: 1.16983
Take Profit (TP): 1.17636
Stop Loss (SL): 1.16617
Indicators: Likely includes 50-period (yellow) and 200-period (red) moving averages.
Trend & Price Action
Trend Direction
Recent Move: There’s been a strong bullish reversal after a sharp decline, as evidenced by the V-shaped price action in the middle of the chart.
Current Structure: Price is trading above the yellow (short-term MA) and red (long-term MA) lines, confirming short-term bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: The yellow MA (likely 50-period) has crossed above the red MA (200-period), suggesting a potential bullish “Golden Cross”—a classic bullish signal, especially on higher time frames like H4.
Momentum
The most recent candles are bullish, moving towards the Buy Stop level, indicating growing upward momentum.
The consolidation just below the Buy Stop trigger also signals price accumulation and potential for a breakout.
Trade Setup
Buy Stop Order @ 1.16983
Justification: Placed above the local consolidation/resistance. This lets you enter on confirmed bullish breakout, avoiding false starts.
Take Profit (TP) @ 1.17636
Justification: Positioned near the next significant resistance level, as shown by recent swing highs.
Stop Loss (SL) @ 1.16617
Justification: Placed below recent consolidation/support and below both moving averages, reducing whipsaw risk.
Risk/Reward Assessment
Entry to TP: ~65 pips
Entry to SL: ~36 pips
Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:1.8, providing a favorable ratio.
Key Technical Insights
Bullish Confirmation: A break above 1.16983 could trigger further bullish momentum as trapped shorts cover and technical buyers step in.
Support/Resistance: The tight range and confluence of moving averages suggest strong support just below entry.
Golden Cross: The MA crossover supports the potential for a sustained upward move if triggered.
Fundamental Factors to Watch
Economic data from Eurozone and US, especially inflation and employment reports.
ECB and Fed policy outlook—rate expectations may sharply move EUR/USD.
Geopolitical news, which can rapidly affect risk appetite.
Summary Table
| Indicator | Value | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Stop | 1.16983 | Entry on breakout confirmation |
| Take Profit (TP) | 1.17636 | Resistance target |
| Stop Loss (SL) | 1.16617 | Below recent support/MA cluster |
| Risk-Reward Ratio | ~1:1.8 | Positive |
| Trend | Bullish | MA crossover supports up move |
Conclusion & Trading Plan
If price breaks 1.16983, go long with SL at 1.16617 and TP at 1.17636.
Maintain risk management and watch for major news and volatility.
If the breakout fails, don’t chase—wait for new setup confirmation.
Recommended Lot Size
Trading is all about statistics.
While we can experience winning streaks, we can also suffer from losing streaks.
As such, we should always size each trade to withstand losing streaks (if any).
It’s widely recommended that you should not risk more than 2% of your capital for each trade.
We believe it’s easier to control your lot size by limiting your lot sizing to 0.01 for every $500 in your account.
So if you have $5000, then risk no more than 0.10 lot size per trade.
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If you spot a mistake especially when it comes to the price, please use common sense and check the chart.
We wish you good luck and good profit for this trade idea.
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