Last week rally in the GBP/USD is still corrective in nature and part of a larger symmetrical triangle pattern. Only a break of the 1.3480 would threaten a larger retracement into the Brexit sell off. As the bullish momentum will show an unwillingness to advance there is scope for GBP/USD to continue inside a very wide range. Normally price should stay below 1.3400 the upper limit of the symmetrical triangle pattern, but the downside should also be limited to the 1.3150 - 1.3100
.
Fundamentally speaking Cable’s rally was inspired by the spectacular jump in the UK’s manufacturing sector, which posted the largest month-on-month increase in the last 25 years. In the week ahead, we should expect a slow start of the week due to
activity.
Notable risk events in the coming week are the UK’s Manufacturing Production scheduled on Wednesday and the market consensus is for a soft reading of -0.5%, down from -0.3%, while the Industrial production is expected to inch lower to -0.2%, down from 0.1%.
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