The USDCAD has broken for a brief period of time below the big round number 1.2500 but we managed to regain that level and close above it on a weekly basis. However the broad base dollar weakness may suggest that we shouldn’t but too much weight on the bull side. A break and a daily close below 1.2500 will validate the bearish view and we could see last week low 1.2460 challenged again.
A break below 1.2460 will open the door for a retest of our next important support level 1.2350. On the upside, the 1.2550 is an important resistance level and any rally above it should fade away unless we post a daily close above it. The stochastic
. Monday, we have the Family day holiday in Canada so expect low trading activity on this pair. The only notable risk event is Friday’s CPI inflation figures and Wednesday’s FOMC minutes.
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