The USDCAD has managed to stay above the big psychological number 1.2500 and had quite a strong bounce. The break above 1.2600 has opened the door for more USDCAD strength. However, we have run too fast as we already reached oversold conditions on the
. This suggests that early in the week we might see a retracement before the current bull run to have another chance to produce more USDCAD strength. On the upside the first level of resistance only comes at 1.2663 and we have a good chance to reach that level. Only a break below the big round number 1.2500 can suggest that the bulls have lost control of this market. A break below 1.2500 will set the stage for a retest of daily support level 1.2400.
In terms of risk events the Canadian economic calendar will bring the BOC interest rate decision. The BOC has already raised interest rates to 1% through 2017 and continued to have a hawkish stance. However, no more rate hikes are expected this year, which can draw investors away from the Canadian Dollar.
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