AUD/JPY Daily Price Forecast – 17th June 2025

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Trade Summary:

AUDJPY
Buy Stop @ 94.679
TP @ 95.165
SL @ 93.921

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AUD/JPY Technical Analysis

Chart Overview:

The chart provided is a 4-hour (H4) timeframe for the AUD/JPY currency pair. Key levels and indicators are marked, including a Buy Stop, Stop Loss (SL), and Take Profit (TP). The chart also includes moving averages (yellow and red lines) to indicate trend direction and potential support/resistance levels.

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Key Observations:

• Trend Analysis:

  • The pair is in a short-term uptrend, as evidenced by the series of higher highs and higher lows.

  • The price has recently broken above the moving averages, signaling bullish momentum.

• Moving Averages:

  • The yellow line (likely the 50-period moving average) is below the price, acting as dynamic support.

  • The red line (likely the 200-period moving average) is also below the price, confirming a bullish bias.

• Key Levels:

  • Buy Stop: 94.679 – This level is slightly above the current price, indicating a breakout strategy. A buy order will be triggered if the price moves above this level.

  • Stop Loss (SL): 93.921 – Positioned below recent support levels to limit downside risk.

  • Take Profit (TP): 95.165 – This level is near a previous resistance zone, providing a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.

• Candlestick Patterns:

  • Recent bullish candlesticks suggest strong buying pressure, with minimal wicks on the downside.

• Resistance and Support:

  • Resistance: The 95.165 level is a key resistance zone, as it aligns with previous price rejections.

  • Support: The 93.921 level serves as a strong support zone, reinforced by the moving averages.

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Trade Setup:

• Entry: A Buy Stop at 94.679 ensures entry only if the bullish momentum continues.

• Stop Loss: Placed at 93.921 to protect against unexpected reversals.

• Take Profit: Positioned at 95.165, offering a potential upside of approximately 48.6 pips.

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Risk-to-Reward Ratio:

• Risk: 94.679 - 93.921 = 75.8 pips

• Reward: 95.165 - 94.679 = 48.6 pips

• Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1.56:1 (favorable for a breakout trade).

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Conclusion:

The AUD/JPY pair is showing strong bullish momentum, supported by moving averages and recent price action. The trade setup is well-structured, with a clear entry, stop loss, and take profit. However, traders should monitor for potential resistance at 95.165 and adjust their strategy if bearish signals emerge.

Recommended Lot Size

Trading is all about statistics.

While we can experience winning streaks, we can also suffer from losing streaks.

As such, we should always size each trade to withstand losing streaks (if any).

It's widely recommended that you should not risk more than 2% of your capital for each trade.

We believe it's easier to control your lot size by limiting your lot sizing to 0.01 for every $500 in your account.

So if you have $5000, then risk no more than 0.10 lot size per trade.

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If you spot a mistake especially when it comes to the price, please use common sense and check the chart.

We wish you good luck and good profit for this trade idea.

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