AUD/NZD Daily Price Forecast – 16th July 2025
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AUDNZD
Buy Stop @ 1.09728
TP @ 1.10043
SL @ 1.09391
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Timeframe: H4 (4-hour)
Indicators: Two moving averages (likely 50-period in yellow and 200-period in red)
Trade Setup:
Buy Stop: 1.09728
Take Profit (TP): 1.10043
Stop Loss (SL): 1.09391
Current Trend: The pair is in a strong uptrend, as evidenced by the recent series of higher highs and higher lows.
Moving Averages:
The yellow (shorter period) MA is above the red (longer period) MA, confirming bullish momentum.
Both MAs are sloping upwards, further supporting the bullish bias.
Buy Stop (1.09728): This is set just above recent resistance, suggesting a breakout strategy. The price is expected to continue higher if it breaks this level.
Take Profit (1.10043): This level is set near the next resistance zone, which aligns with previous price action highs.
Stop Loss (1.09391): Placed below recent support and the moving averages, providing a buffer against false breakouts.
Recent Movement: The pair has rallied sharply from the 1.0780–1.0800 region, breaking above previous consolidation and resistance zones.
Consolidation: There is a minor consolidation just below the buy stop, indicating a potential buildup before a breakout.
Volume (not shown): If volume increases on the breakout, it would further validate the move.
Bullish Momentum: The alignment of moving averages and the strong upward price action support a bullish outlook.
Breakout Play: The buy stop is strategically placed to catch a continuation of the uptrend if resistance is broken.
Risk Management: The stop loss is tight but reasonable, protecting against a reversal while allowing room for normal volatility.
False Breakout: If the price spikes above 1.09728 but fails to hold, it could trigger the stop loss.
Overbought Conditions: After a strong rally, there is a risk of a pullback or correction.
Fundamental Factors: Any unexpected news from Australia or New Zealand could impact the trade.
| Entry Type | Level | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Stop | 1.09728 | Breakout above resistance |
| Take Profit | 1.10043 | Next resistance/target zone |
| Stop Loss | 1.09391 | Below support & moving averages |
The AUD/NZD H4 chart shows a clear bullish trend with a well-defined breakout setup. The trade plan aims to capitalize on continued upward momentum, with prudent risk management in place. Watch for confirmation on the breakout and monitor for any reversal signals.
Note: Always consider fundamental factors and adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance.
Trading is all about statistics.
While we can experience winning streaks, we can also suffer from losing streaks.
As such, we should always size each trade to withstand losing streaks (if any).
It's widely recommended that you should not risk more than 2% of your capital for each trade.
We believe it's easier to control your lot size by limiting your lot sizing to 0.01 for every $500 in your account.
So if you have $5000, then risk no more than 0.10 lot size per trade.
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If you spot a mistake especially when it comes to the price, please use common sense and check the chart.
We wish you good luck and good profit for this trade idea.
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