AUD/NZD Daily Price Forecast – 5th August 2025
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AUDNZD
Buy Stop @ 1.09622
TP @ 1.09900
SL @ 1.09391
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Timeframe: H4 (4-hour)
Indicators:
Yellow Line: Likely 50-period Moving Average (MA)
Red Line: Likely 200-period Moving Average (MA)
Trade Setup:
Buy Stop: 1.09622
Take Profit (TP): 1.09900
Stop Loss (SL): 1.09391
Current Trend: The pair is in a short-term uptrend, as indicated by the price trading above both the 50-period and 200-period moving averages.
Moving Averages: The 50 MA is above the 200 MA, confirming bullish momentum.
Recent Price Action: After a period of consolidation, the price has broken above recent resistance, suggesting renewed buying interest.
Buy Stop @ 1.09622: This is just above recent highs, indicating a breakout entry strategy.
TP @ 1.09900: This level is near the next resistance zone, providing a logical target for profit-taking.
SL @ 1.09391: Placed below recent support and the moving averages, offering protection against a false breakout.
Entry to TP: 1.09900 - 1.09622 = 0.00278 (27.8 pips)
Entry to SL: 1.09622 - 1.09391 = 0.00231 (23.1 pips)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1.2:1 (favorable for a breakout trade)
Support: 1.09391 (recent swing low and MA support)
Resistance: 1.09900 (previous highs)
Consolidation: The pair has recently broken out of a sideways range, which often leads to a strong directional move.
Bullish Factors:
Price above both key moving averages.
Breakout from consolidation.
Buy stop above resistance to catch momentum.
Bearish Risks:
False breakout risk if price quickly reverses after triggering the buy stop.
If price falls below 1.09391, the bullish structure is invalidated.
Bias: Bullish (short-term)
Trade Plan: Enter long on a breakout above 1.09622, targeting 1.09900, with a stop loss at 1.09391.
Risk Management: The setup offers a reasonable risk-reward ratio and is supported by technical signals. Monitor for volatility and adjust stop loss to break even if the price moves favorably.
Trading is all about statistics.
While we can experience winning streaks, we can also suffer from losing streaks.
As such, we should always size each trade to withstand losing streaks (if any).
It's widely recommended that you should not risk more than 2% of your capital for each trade.
We believe it's easier to control your lot size by limiting your lot sizing to 0.01 for every $500 in your account.
So if you have $5000, then risk no more than 0.10 lot size per trade.
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If you spot a mistake especially when it comes to the price, please use common sense and check the chart.
We wish you good luck and good profit for this trade idea.
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