The EUR/AUD pair is showing signs of bullish momentum on the H4 timeframe.
The price has broken above the 50-period moving average (yellow line) and is approaching the 200-period moving average (red line), indicating a potential continuation of the upward trend.
Key Levels:
Buy Stop: 1.76989
This level is set slightly above the current price, suggesting a breakout strategy. If the price moves above this level, it could confirm bullish momentum.
Take Profit (TP): 1.77544
This level is a logical target, as it aligns with a previous resistance zone.
Stop Loss (SL): 1.75855
The stop loss is placed below a recent support level, providing a safety net in case of a reversal.
Moving Averages:
The 50-period moving average (yellow) is sloping upward, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
The 200-period moving average (red) is relatively flat, suggesting that the longer-term trend is neutral but could shift bullish if the price sustains above it.
Candlestick Patterns:
Recent bullish candlesticks with higher highs and higher lows indicate strong buying pressure.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The distance between the entry (1.76989) and the take profit (1.77544) is approximately 55 pips.
The distance between the entry (1.76989) and the stop loss (1.75855) is approximately 113 pips.
This setup has a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:0.5, which is less favorable. Traders may consider adjusting the stop loss or take profit to improve the ratio.
Trading Plan:
Entry:
Place a buy stop order at 1.76989 to capitalize on a potential breakout.
Stop Loss:
Set the stop loss at 1.75855 to limit downside risk.
Take Profit:
Target 1.77544 as the take profit level, aligning with a key resistance zone.
Confirmation:
Wait for a strong bullish candle to close above 1.76989 before entering the trade to confirm the breakout.
Potential Risks:
False Breakout: The price may briefly break above 1.76989 but fail to sustain the upward momentum.
Fundamental Factors: Economic data releases or central bank decisions could impact the EUR/AUD pair significantly.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The current setup has a less favorable risk-reward ratio, which may require adjustment.
Conclusion:
The EUR/AUD pair is showing bullish potential on the H4 chart, with a breakout above 1.76989 likely to lead to further gains toward 1.77544. However, traders should monitor the risk-reward ratio and consider fundamental factors before executing the trade.
Recommended Lot Size
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