EUR/CHF Daily Price Forecast – 19th March 2025

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Trade Summary:

EURCHF
Sell Stop @ 0.95584
TP @ 0.95132
SL @ 0.96331

EUR/CHF Analysis (H4 Chart)

Overview

The EUR/CHF chart provided is a 4-hour (H4) timeframe, showing a bearish setup with key levels marked for a potential sell trade. The chart includes moving averages and horizontal support/resistance levels, which are critical for analyzing the price action.

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Key Levels

• Sell Stop: 0.95584

  • This is the entry point for the sell trade. The price is expected to break below this level, confirming bearish momentum.

• Take Profit (TP): 0.95132

  • This is the target level for the trade. It represents a key support level where the price is expected to find buying interest or consolidation.

• Stop Loss (SL): 0.96331

  • This is the risk management level. If the price moves above this level, it invalidates the bearish setup, and the trade will be exited.

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Technical Indicators

• Moving Averages:

  • Yellow Line (Short-Term MA): Indicates short-term price trends. The price is currently below this moving average, signaling bearish momentum.

  • Red Line (Long-Term MA): Represents the longer-term trend. The price is also below this moving average, confirming a bearish bias.

• Price Action:

  • The recent candles show a bearish structure with lower highs and lower lows.

  • The price has broken below the short-term moving average, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend.

• Support and Resistance:

  • Resistance: 0.96331 (Stop Loss level) acts as a strong resistance zone.

  • Support: 0.95132 (Take Profit level) is a key support zone where the price may reverse or consolidate.

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Trade Setup

• Entry: A sell stop order at 0.95584 ensures the trade is triggered only if the price breaks below this level, confirming bearish momentum.

• Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance between the entry (0.95584) and the stop loss (0.96331) is smaller than the distance to the take profit (0.95132), offering a favorable risk-reward ratio.

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Market Sentiment

• The bearish setup suggests that the EUR/CHF pair is under selling pressure, possibly due to:

  • Weakness in the Euro.

  • Strength in the Swiss Franc, often considered a safe-haven currency.

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Conclusion

The EUR/CHF pair is showing a bearish setup on the H4 chart. A sell stop at 0.95584 with a target of 0.95132 and a stop loss at 0.96331 provides a well-defined trade plan. The price action and moving averages support the bearish bias, but traders should monitor for any reversal signals or fundamental news that could impact the trade.

Recommended Lot Size

Trading is all about statistics.

While we can experience winning streaks, we can also suffer from losing streaks.

As such, we should always size each trade to withstand losing streaks (if any).

It's widely recommended that you should not risk more than 2% of your capital for each trade.

We believe it's easier to control your lot size by limiting your lot sizing to 0.01 for every $500 in your account.

So if you have $5000, then risk no more than 0.10 lot size per trade.

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If you spot a mistake especially when it comes to the price, please use common sense and check the chart.

We wish you good luck and good profit for this trade idea.

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